Nordstrandvs
Vålerenga II
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vålerenga II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nordstrand 0-3 Vålerenga II
Original prediction
Vålerenga II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.01 | 45.1% | 35.1% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.8% | 23.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.74 | 33.1% | 41.8% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Vålerenga II
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Vålerenga II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80