Nordstrandvs
Heming
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Heming · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-4 (7%), 1-4 (7%), 2-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nordstrand 0-2 Heming
Original prediction
Heming
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 09:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.11 | 28.8% | 20.3% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 20.8% | 15.3% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 1.78 | 50.3% | 64.4% | 14.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.78 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–47%
- 2.1–47%
- 3.2–37%
Predicted outcome
Heming
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Heming has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 19 · GA 9 · avg 3.80/1.80