GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/9/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Türkspor Augsburg are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 20.3-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.9% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

68.9%

Model confidence

68.9%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Türkspor AugsburgLLLWL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NordlingenTürkspor Augsburg
64.7Attack28.4
51.0Defence49.0
56.9Form28.4
57.5Power37.2
2.29xG0.73
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