GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 11/22/2025, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sportfreunde Schwaig are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportfreunde Schwaig hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Sportfreunde SchwaigWDLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NordlingenSportfreunde Schwaig
64.7Attack66.7
51.0Defence60.0
56.9Form53.3
57.5Power59.6
1.92xG1.60
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