GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/26/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sonthofen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 49.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

50.8%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenLWLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SonthofenLLDLW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
NordlingenSonthofen
64.7Attack52.0
51.0Defence51.0
56.9Form44.1
57.5Power49.7
2.12xG1.38
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