GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/14/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenWLLWD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Rain / LechLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenRain / Lech
64.7Attack42.2
51.0Defence47.1
56.9Form43.1
57.5Power46.1
2.31xG1.11
View match centre →