GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/16/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rain / Lech are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenLDDWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Rain / LechWLLDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
NordlingenRain / Lech
64.7Attack42.2
51.0Defence47.1
56.9Form43.1
57.5Power46.1
2.31xG1.11
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