GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/21/2024, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kottern are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 30.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

70.0%

Model confidence

70.0%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KotternLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NordlingenKottern
64.7Attack33.3
51.0Defence26.7
56.9Form20.0
57.5Power30.3
2.85xG1.06
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