GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/30/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Kirchanschöring are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

60.0%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenWWLDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
KirchanschöringDLDDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenKirchanschöring
64.7Attack53.3
51.0Defence33.3
56.9Form33.3
57.5Power43.0
2.60xG1.35
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