GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 8/23/2024, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Heimstetten are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenLWWLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HeimstettenLLLDD

GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenHeimstetten
64.7Attack53.3
51.0Defence53.3
56.9Form46.7
57.5Power53.0
2.10xG1.40
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