GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/21/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Heimstetten are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenWWLWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HeimstettenWWDLW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenHeimstetten
64.7Attack53.3
51.0Defence53.3
56.9Form46.7
57.5Power53.0
2.10xG1.40
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