GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 10/8/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Garching are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 28.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

83.6%

Model confidence

83.6%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenLWWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
GarchingWLWDL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NordlingenGarching
64.7Attack36.3
51.0Defence15.7
56.9Form21.6
57.5Power28.0
3.88xG0.91
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