Nordlingenvs
Erlbach
COMPLETEDGermany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 4/5/2025, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nordlingen are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Erlbach are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.5 against 58.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nordlingen
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60