GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 3/16/2024, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deisenhofen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nordlingen hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

60.6%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenWWWLW

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DeisenhofenDWLWW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
NordlingenDeisenhofen
64.7Attack40.0
51.0Defence40.0
56.9Form46.7
57.5Power42.8
2.43xG1.19
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