GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Süd · 9/2/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nordlingen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Nordlingen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while 1860 München II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and 1860 München II hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd, while Nordlingen holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nordlingen

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Nordlingen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NordlingenDWLDW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
1860 München IIDLWLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nordlingen1860 München II
64.7Attack93.3
51.0Defence53.3
56.9Form53.3
57.5Power63.7
2.04xG1.86
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