Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Nordlingen

Nordlingen

Home
L
09
Full time
1. FC Heidenheim

1. FC Heidenheim

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Nordlingen34%
1. FC Heidenheim31%
Prediction missed— Result: 1. FC Heidenheim
Win probability
Nordlingen
34%
Draw
35%
1. FC Heidenheim
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nordlingen
9
1. FC Heidenheim
100
Defence
Nordlingen
0
1. FC Heidenheim
91
Momentum
Nordlingen
0
1. FC Heidenheim
100
Danger (xG)
Nordlingen
0.00
1. FC Heidenheim
8.10
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 0.84 xG for Nordlingen and 3.32 xG for 1. FC Heidenheim. Nordlingen's projected xG of 0.84 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.1. FC Heidenheim's Defensive Stability Score (91) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (9). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 4.16 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Nordlingen)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (1. FC Heidenheim)
8.10
avg per match
xG against (Nordlingen)
8.10
avg per match
xG against (1. FC Heidenheim)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
NordlingenNordlingen
LL
1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
WL

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Nordlingen34%
Draw35%
1. FC Heidenheim31%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Nordlingen vs 1. FC Heidenheim: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Nordlingen host 1. FC Heidenheim in Friendlies Clubs. Nordlingen have recorded LLLLLD in recent matches while 1. FC Heidenheim arrive with a run of LWLWDL. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 9.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 0.84 for Nordlingen and 3.32 for 1. FC Heidenheim. The gap of 2.49 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Nordlingen 0Draws 01 1. FC Heidenheim
Avg goals: 9.0
15 Jul 2026
Nordlingen
L09
1. FC Heidenheim

Recent form

Nordlingen

Nordlingen

L
vs 1. FC Heidenheim
15 Jul 2026
09
L
@ TuS Geretsried
16 May 2026
14
1. FC Heidenheim

1. FC Heidenheim

W
@ Nordlingen
15 Jul 2026
90
L
vs FSV Mainz 05
16 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nordlingen vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nordlingen vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Nordlingen vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nordlingen vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more