GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hamburg · 8/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Norderstedt II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Norderstedt II are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 2.00 scored and 4.50 conceded, while Sasel are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sasel hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Oberliga - Hamburg, while Norderstedt II holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Norderstedt II

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

7.6%

Norderstedt II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Norderstedt IILL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/4.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
SaselWLLLD

GF 8 · GA 16 · avg 1.60/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Norderstedt IISasel
66.7Attack33.3
0.0Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
23.7Power40.7
2.18xG2.07
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