Nong Bua Pitchayavs
Mahasarakham United
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nong Bua Pitchaya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nong Bua Pitchaya 3-0 Mahasarakham United
Original prediction
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.7% | 50.0% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.83 | 23.6% | 25.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 4.37 | 20.7% | 24.1% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Nong Bua Pitchaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60