Nong Bua Pitchayavs
Kasetsart FC
COMPLETEDThailand · Thai League 2 · 9/6/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nong Bua Pitchaya · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Nong Bua Pitchaya 4-0 Kasetsart FC, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Nong Bua Pitchaya 2-0 Kasetsart FC
Original prediction
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.5% | 82.8% | 31.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.7% | 10.2% | -15.5 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 22.9% | 7.0% | -15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
31.3 pts
Projected Score
Nong Bua Pitchaya 4–0 Kasetsart FC
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Probability
82.8%
Model confidence
82.8%
Nong Bua Pitchaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80