Nõmme UnitedvsVaprus

Nõmme United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Vaprus are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Vaprus hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the Meistriliiga, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.