Nõmme UnitedvsTrans Narva

Nõmme United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Trans Narva are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.7% in the Meistriliiga, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.