Nõmme Unitedvs
Paide
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 5/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paide · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Nõmme United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Paide are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Paide hold a 17.3-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the Meistriliiga, while Paide holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paide
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
8.9%
Paide has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00