GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/9/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Nõmme United are 4W-0D-0L in their last 4 (WWWW), averaging 3.25 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Legion are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United hold a 57.3-point power-rating edge (82.4 v 25.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 92.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 93% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United

Probability

92.9%

Model confidence

92.9%

Nõmme United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nõmme UnitedWWWW

GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 3.25/0.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
LegionWWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Nõmme UnitedLegion
100.0Attack34.3
73.1Defence10.2
83.3Form19.4
82.4Power25.0
4.50xG0.51
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