GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Nõmme United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Laagri are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Laagri hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Meistriliiga, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

7.6%

Nõmme United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nõmme UnitedLLLWW

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LaagriWLLWW

GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nõmme UnitedLaagri
58.0Attack48.5
21.7Defence42.4
36.2Form37.9
39.2Power43.8
2.13xG2.11
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