Nõmme Unitedvs
Laagri
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 8/29/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Laagri · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nõmme United 1-2 Laagri
Original prediction
Laagri
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 39.9% | 38.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 20.5% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.2% | 40.8% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–28%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Laagri
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Laagri has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nõmme UnitedLWLLL
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LaagriWLWLL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nõmme UnitedLaagri
56.9Attack47.2
19.4Defence44.4
34.7Form38.9
37.8Power44.5
2.01xG2.13