GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 4/18/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Lowconfidence

Nõmme United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Laagri are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Laagri hold a 4.6-point power-rating edge (39.2 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.6% in the Meistriliiga, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

7.6%

Nõmme United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nõmme UnitedWLDLW

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
LaagriLLWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Nõmme UnitedLaagri
58.0Attack48.5
21.7Defence42.4
36.2Form37.9
39.2Power43.8
2.13xG2.11
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