GGOALVIO

Estonia · Meistriliiga · 4/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Nõmme United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Kuressaare are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.9 against 39.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Meistriliiga, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

9.6%

Nõmme United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nõmme UnitedLLWLD

GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
KuressaareLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nõmme UnitedKuressaare
60.6Attack33.3
19.7Defence45.5
37.9Form31.8
39.9Power39.8
2.15xG1.47
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