Nõmme Unitedvs
Kalju Nomme
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 10/17/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kalju Nomme · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-3 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nõmme United 3-0 Kalju Nomme
Original prediction
Kalju Nomme
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.60 | 19.7% | 13.4% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.3% | 16.5% | -5.7 pts |
| Away | 1.56 | 58.1% | 70.0% | 12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–210%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–39%
Predicted outcome
Kalju Nomme
Probability
70.0%
Model confidence
70.0%
Kalju Nomme has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20