MeistriliigaMeistriliiga
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 14:57
Nõmme United

Nõmme United

Home
WWL
13
Full time
Kalju Nomme

Kalju Nomme

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Nõmme United(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Kalju Nomme
Win probability
Nõmme United
40%
Draw
25%
Kalju Nomme
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nõmme United
73
Kalju Nomme
94
Defence
Nõmme United
27
Kalju Nomme
66
Momentum
Nõmme United
67
Kalju Nomme
100
Danger (xG)
Nõmme United
1.80
Kalju Nomme
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Nõmme United)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Kalju Nomme)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Nõmme United)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Kalju Nomme)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Nõmme UnitedNõmme United
WWLL
Kalju NommeKalju Nomme
DWWDD

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Nõmme United40%
Draw25%
Kalju Nomme36%

Nõmme United leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Nõmme United head into this in Meistriliiga fixture in decent form (WWL), while Kalju Nomme arrive in mixed form (W). Nõmme United have a 67% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 100% for Kalju Nomme over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Nõmme United (73/100) and Kalju Nomme (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Nõmme United have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game at home. Kalju Nomme have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.

Kalju Nomme have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Nõmme United to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Nõmme United 3980%, Draw 2470%, Kalju Nomme 3560%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Nõmme United 0Draws 01 Kalju Nomme
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
3 Jul 2026
Nõmme United
L13
Kalju Nomme

Recent form

Nõmme United

Nõmme United

W
@ Flora Tallinn
17 Jul 2026
21
W
vs Kuressaare
11 Jul 2026
32
L
vs Kalju Nomme
3 Jul 2026
13
L
@ Tammeka
15 May 2026
13
Kalju Nomme

Kalju Nomme

D
@ Linfield
16 Jul 2026
22
W
vs Linfield
9 Jul 2026
10
W
@ Nõmme United
3 Jul 2026
31
D
vs Paide
28 Jun 2026
11
D
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
20 Jun 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme?

GoalVio's model predicts Nõmme United to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nõmme United vs Kalju Nomme?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more