GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Nõmme United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while K-Järve JK Järve are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United hold a 57.9-point power-rating edge (82.4 v 24.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 90.5% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 91% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United

Probability

90.5%

Model confidence

90.5%

Nõmme United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nõmme UnitedWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
K-Järve JK JärveLLWLL

GF 8 · GA 17 · avg 1.60/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Nõmme UnitedK-Järve JK Järve
100.0Attack46.3
73.1Defence0.0
83.3Form18.5
82.4Power24.5
4.50xG0.69
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