Nõmme Unitedvs
Flora Tallinn
COMPLETEDEstonia · Meistriliiga · 9/12/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flora Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Nõmme United 2-3 Flora Tallinn
Original prediction
Flora Tallinn
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.58 | 19.8% | 17.7% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.3% | 16.8% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.8% | 65.5% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Flora Tallinn
Probability
65.5%
Model confidence
65.5%
Flora Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00