Nõmme United IIvs
Tartu Welco
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 4/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tartu Welco · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Nõmme United II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.4% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tartu Welco
Probability
75.4%
Model confidence
8.4%
Tartu Welco has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20