Nõmme United IIvsNõmme Kalju II

Nõmme United II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Nõmme Kalju II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United II hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 31.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.