Esiliiga AEsiliiga A
Tuesday, 30 June 2026Last updated 12:35
Nõmme United II

Nõmme United II

Home
DL
33
Full time
Flora II

Flora II

Away
DL
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Flora II(46%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Nõmme United II
29%
Draw
25%
Flora II
46%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nõmme United II
73
Flora II
54
Defence
Nõmme United II
14
Flora II
27
Momentum
Nõmme United II
17
Flora II
17
Danger (xG)
Nõmme United II
1.80
Flora II
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Nõmme United II)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Flora II)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Nõmme United II)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Flora II)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
DLDLW
Flora IIFlora II
DLDD

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Nõmme United II29%
Draw25%
Flora II46%

Flora II leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Nõmme United II head into this in Esiliiga A fixture in mixed form (DL), while Flora II arrive in mixed form (DL). Nõmme United II have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Flora II over 2 games.

The model rates Nõmme United II's attack at 73/100 against a 27/100 Flora II defence, and Flora II's attack at 54/100 against a 14/100 Nõmme United II backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Nõmme United II have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game at home. Flora II have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.

The last 3 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 3 draws, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 3 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Flora II to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Nõmme United II 2865%, Draw 2525%, Flora II 4610%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Nõmme United II 0Draws 30 Flora II
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 3/3
12 Jul 2026
Nõmme United II
D11
Flora II
30 Jun 2026
Nõmme United II
D33
Flora II
13 May 2026
Nõmme United II
D22
Flora II

Recent form

Nõmme United II

Nõmme United II

D
vs Flora II
12 Jul 2026
11
L
@ FC Tallinn
4 Jul 2026
34
D
vs Flora II
30 Jun 2026
33
L
@ Tartu Welco
21 Jun 2026
25
W
vs Elva
16 May 2026
10
Flora II

Flora II

D
@ Nõmme United II
12 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Maardu
9 Jul 2026
23
D
@ Nõmme United II
30 Jun 2026
33
D
vs Nõmme United II
13 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nõmme United II vs Flora II?

GoalVio's model predicts Flora II to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme United II vs Flora II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Nõmme United II vs Flora II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nõmme United II vs Flora II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more