GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/22/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Nõmme United II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United II hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United II holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United II

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

7.0%

Nõmme United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nõmme United IIWWWWD

GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC TallinnLDLLW

GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Nõmme United IIFC Tallinn
59.1Attack43.9
22.7Defence24.2
34.8Form36.4
40.9Power37.0
3.02xG1.92
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