Nõmme United IIvs
Elva
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 5/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Nõmme United II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Elva are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Elva hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the Esiliiga A, while Elva holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elva
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
7.0%
Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60