Nõmme Kalju IIvsTallinna Kalev

Nõmme Kalju II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Tallinna Kalev are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tallinna Kalev hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.6% in the Esiliiga A, while Tallinna Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 82% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.