Nõmme Kalju IIvsNõmme United II

Nõmme Kalju II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Nõmme United II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United II hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (31.8 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the Esiliiga A, while Nõmme United II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.