Nõmme Kalju IIvsLuunja

Nõmme Kalju II are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LLWL), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Luunja are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme Kalju II hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Esiliiga B, while Nõmme Kalju II holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 92% BTTS chance and 96% for over 2.5 goals.