Nõmme Kalju IIvsLäänemaa Haapsalu

Nõmme Kalju II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Läänemaa Haapsalu are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme Kalju II hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (63.6 v 41.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.7% in the Esiliiga B, while Nõmme Kalju II holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 93% for over 2.5 goals.