Esiliiga AEsiliiga A
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:08
Nõmme Kalju II

Nõmme Kalju II

Home
D
05
Full time
Flora II

Flora II

Away
DL
Hiiu Stadium
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Nõmme Kalju II(25%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Nõmme Kalju II
25%
Draw
25%
Flora II
50%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Nõmme Kalju II
73
Flora II
54
Defence
Nõmme Kalju II
27
Flora II
27
Momentum
Nõmme Kalju II
33
Flora II
17
Danger (xG)
Nõmme Kalju II
1.80
Flora II
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Nõmme Kalju II)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Flora II)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Nõmme Kalju II)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Flora II)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Nõmme Kalju IINõmme Kalju II
DLDW
Flora IIFlora II
DLDD

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Nõmme Kalju II25%
Draw25%
Flora II50%

Flora II leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Nõmme Kalju II head into this in Esiliiga A fixture at Hiiu Stadium in mixed form (D), while Flora II arrive in mixed form (DL). Nõmme Kalju II have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Flora II over 2 games.

The model rates Nõmme Kalju II's attack at 73/100 against a 27/100 Flora II defence, and Flora II's attack at 54/100 against a 27/100 Nõmme Kalju II backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Nõmme Kalju II have won 1 of their last 3 home fixtures, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Flora II have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Nõmme Kalju II and Flora II in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Nõmme Kalju II to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Nõmme Kalju II 2477%, Draw 2479%, Flora II 5044%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Nõmme Kalju II

Nõmme Kalju II

D
vs Elva
5 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Tallinna Kalev
21 Jun 2026
15
D
vs Viimsi
16 May 2026
11
W
vs FCI Levadia II
11 May 2026
10
Flora II

Flora II

D
@ Nõmme United II
12 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Maardu
9 Jul 2026
23
D
@ Nõmme United II
30 Jun 2026
33
D
vs Nõmme United II
13 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?

GoalVio's model predicts Nõmme Kalju II to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more