Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Námestovo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 4-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Námestovo 2-1 Podkonice
Original prediction
Námestovo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 68.3% | 66.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.96 | 18.3% | 16.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 6.80 | 13.4% | 16.9% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–18%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.4–17%
Predicted outcome
Námestovo
Probability
66.5%
Model confidence
66.5%
Námestovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NámestovoWDWDW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PodkoniceDLWDW
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
NámestovoPodkonice
95.8Attack91.7
66.7Defence37.5
79.2Form58.3
78.8Power62.0
3.39xG1.61