Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Námestovo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Námestovo 0-0 MFK Bytča
Original prediction
Námestovo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.0% | 42.0% | 0.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 25.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 32.1% | 32.2% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Námestovo
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Námestovo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NámestovoWWWWW
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
MFK BytčaLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NámestovoMFK Bytča
100.0Attack66.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
97.0Power88.7
2.21xG1.74