NK Varazdinvs
Rudes
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 8/29/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Varazdin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Varazdin 2-0 Rudes
Original prediction
NK Varazdin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.28 | 71.8% | 55.1% | -16.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.07 | 18.1% | 23.8% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 9.09 | 10.1% | 21.1% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
NK Varazdin
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
NK Varazdin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 14 · avg 1.40/2.80