NK Varazdinvs
NK Slaven Belupo
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Varazdin · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: NK Varazdin 2-0 NK Slaven Belupo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Varazdin 1-2 NK Slaven Belupo
Original prediction
NK Varazdin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.65 | 55.6% | 73.3% | 17.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.7% | 16.7% | -7.0 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.7% | 10.0% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.6 pts
Projected Score
NK Varazdin 2–0 NK Slaven Belupo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
NK Varazdin
Probability
73.3%
Model confidence
73.3%
NK Varazdin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20