NK Varazdinvs
NK Osijek
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 9/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Varazdin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Varazdin 0-0 NK Osijek
Original prediction
NK Varazdin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.4% | 36.2% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.6% | 28.0% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 25.0% | 35.8% | 10.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
NK Varazdin
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
NK Varazdin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60