NK Varazdinvs
Istra 1961
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Varazdin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Varazdin 0-0 Istra 1961
Original prediction
NK Varazdin
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 51.5% | 47.5% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.8% | 26.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 22.7% | 26.0% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
NK Varazdin
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
NK Varazdin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00