NK Slaven Belupovs
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Slaven Belupo 2-1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Original prediction
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 37.5% | 33.0% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.9% | 27.5% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.6% | 39.4% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00