NK Slaven Belupovs
Dinamo Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · HNL · 10/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Slaven Belupo 1-5 Dinamo Zagreb
Original prediction
Dinamo Zagreb
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.72 | 13.7% | 16.6% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.02 | 18.3% | 18.3% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.35 | 68.1% | 65.1% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80