Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Osijek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (8%), 4-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
NK Osijek 0-1 Rudes
Original prediction
NK Osijek
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.2% | 76.0% | 11.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.6% | 13.7% | -6.9 pts |
| Away | 6.02 | 15.2% | 10.3% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–08%
- 3.4–18%
Predicted outcome
NK Osijek
Probability
76.0%
Model confidence
76.0%
NK Osijek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
NK OsijekDLDDW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
RudesLWDLW
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
NK OsijekRudes
63.3Attack43.3
50.0Defence10.0
56.7Form23.3
55.7Power28.0
3.46xG1.09