Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Osijek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
NK Osijek are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Qarabag are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and NK Osijek hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while NK Osijek holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
NK Osijek
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
NK Osijek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60